Eur/usd investments, under behavioral patterns from non farm payrolls

Abstract

The purpose of this research is to set an investment strategy in order to balance EUR/USD based on the deep observation and the detailed analysis of the market behavior taken from the Non- Farm Payrolls publication schedule Job indicator in the United States. This strategy will take into account fundamental and technical analysis from theorists such as Benjamin Graham and Davis Dodd, predecessors of the fundamental analysis, as well as some other writers such as Steve Nison in his book Beyond Candle Sticks and Jhon J. Murphy in his work ¨Technical analysis of financial markets¨; based on the given strategy, the investor will have clarity whenever an investment decision is on the table departing from three key points: clear tendencies, specific market incomes and outcomes. In addition, the strategy will establish a model for measuring the risk (money management) in which VaR concepts will be applied taken from the work of Alfonso Lara.